Champions League final predictions and tips

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All footballing eyes will focus on the Champions League final at Wembley, England on Saturday 1st June. You can find all the latest Champions League final odds and predictions at your fingertips with Marathonbet.

Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid will contend for the trophy. Who will win the Champions League final?

You’ll find some great odds and a massive range of both pre-match and live markets on the big match with Marathonbet. Place your bets and watch the action unfold.

Who will win the 2024 Champions League?

The road to Wembley started with 78 teams competing for the Champions League trophy back in June 2023. By the time the group stage started on 19th September last year, that number had reduced to 32 teams.

The favourites at that stage were the defending champions, Manchester City; however, they were eliminated by Real Madrid after a penalty shootout at the quarter-final stage. That stage also saw Barcelona and Arsenal knocked out.

The semi-finals saw the end of Bayern Munich and PSG, leaving just two teams remaining.

After the nail-biting victory over Manchester City, Real Madrid then needed 88th and 91st minute goals to come back from a losing position against Bayern.

Meanwhile, virtually unnoticed, Borussia Dortmund took the other place in the final.  

Madrid start the match as strong favourites to take the trophy and add to their record number of successes in this tournament, but the German side will be no pushover.

Champions League statistics

  • Real Madrid remain undefeated in this year’s Champions League.
  • The Spanish side are aiming for their 15th Champions League title.
  • Borussia are playing in their third final, having won in 1997 and lost in 2013.
  • The loss in 2013 was against fellow Germans, Bayern Munich. That was the last time the final was played at Wembley.

Dortmund will want to avoid another disappointment in London, whilst this is the first time Real have reached a Champions League final at Wembley.

Champions League Final odds

The latest odds to win the Champions League trophy are:

Real Madrid at odds of 1.31

Borussia Dortmund at odds of 3.32

Those odds are for the eventual winner, even if the match goes to extra-time and/or a penalty shootout.

Having scraped through the previous two rounds courtesy of a penalty shootout victory and two very late goals, it seems Real Madrid may be destined for another tournament victory.

Champions League predictions: analysis of the teams

The finalists come into this match with very different domestic campaigns behind them. Here, we’ll take a look at each side, assess their strengths and weaknesses, and enable you to make an informed choice when making your Champions League final predictions.

Though these teams have never met previously in a European final, they have played each other 10 times since 2012 in different rounds of the Champions League.

Of those matches, Madrid have won four times, Dortmund three times, with three matches drawn. The four most recent meetings were not short on entertainment, with each game seeing four or more goals scored.

Real Madrid: hot favourites to win the Champions League 2024

The current betting suggests Los Blancos will be victorious in the final. With their pedigree in this competition, most experts can only see one team winning the trophy. But will the big match go to form?

Under the guidance of the wise old head of Carlo Ancelotti, Madrid have claimed their 36th LaLiga title this season. The outcome was never in any real doubt from the half-way point of the season, with victories home and away over Barcelona putting paid to the aspirations of their Catalonian rivals. They also won the Spanish Super Cup back in January.

The only team to get the better of them this season has been their local rivals, as Atlético Madrid defeated their near neighbours once in the league and also eliminated them from the Copa del Rey.

The Chamartín side made one of the transfer moves of the summer by snapping up midfielder Jude Bellingham from Borussia Dortmund. Will the Englishman be the decisive difference against his former club? They also brought in striker Joselu on loan from Espanyol, looking to fill the gap left by the departed Karim Benzema. However, not many could have envisaged the 33-year-old would be the Champions League hero, scoring both the late goals to see off Bayern in the semi-final.

With the Brazilians Vinícius Júnior and Rodrygo adding to their firepower, Madrid are not short of attacking threat.

In midfield, they have the experience of Luka Modrić and Toni Kroos alongside the hard-working Federico Valverde. However, it seems an injury picked up in the semi-finals will rule Aurélien Tchouaméni out of the big match. Whilst keeping things tight at the back, the captain, Nacho, has generally been partnered with the enigmatic Antonio Rüdiger. They are also bolstered by the return of fit-again Éder Militão, who had been injured for a large part of this season.

In goal, Andriy Lunin has filled the gap left by the injured Thibaut Courtois, although the Belgian is now back to full fitness to contest the goalkeeping jersey.

Borussia Dortmund: the big surprise in the Champions League race

After a  disappointing domestic season, no one expected the side from North Rhine-Westphalia to reach the Champions League final for the third time. However, Edin Terzić’s men had already shown that they meant business by finishing top of the group of death in the group phase.

After overcoming a kind draw in the round of 16 against PSV Eindhoven (3-1 on aggregate) and coming from behind to beat Atletico Madrid (5-4 on aggregate) for a place in the semi-finals, Borussia Dortmund pulled off a shock by convincingly eliminating Paris Saint-Germain (2-0 on aggregate). With two narrow single-goal victories, the German side gained revenge for their draw and defeat in the group stage, where they had also been paired together.

Dortmund only managed fifth place in the final Bundeliga table, their worst finish since 2015. After a strong start to the season, a run of one win in eight games between late October and mid-December stalled their momentum. However, they did manage two 1-1 draws in their matches against runaway champions Bayer Leverkusen, although they eventually finished 27 points behind them in the final standings.

Marco Reus and Mats Hummels survive from the team that lost the 2013 Champions League final, though Hummels did spend three seasons at Bayern in the interim before returning. More than a decade later, the two German internationals have seen the likes of Julian Brandt, Nicklas Füllkrug, Karim Adeyemi and Marcel Sabitzer become vital players for Borussia.

Jadon Sancho has also found a new lease of life on his return to familiar territory in Germany after being out of favour at Manchester United. Since donning the black and yellow shirt again in mid-January, Sancho has regained his form of old.

Champions League betting tips

Throughout history, only 23 teams have won the Champions League (or its previous incarnation, the European Cup). Real Madrid dominate the list of winners, having claimed the first five editions of the competition from 1955/56 and amassed a current total of 14 titles. They have reached 17 finals in the history of the tournament and have only lost three times when reaching the big stage.

The next best Champions League record is held by Milan with seven titles, followed by Bayern Munich (6), Liverpool (6), Barcelona (5), Ajax (4), Inter (3) and Manchester United (3).

Unsurprisingly, Spain as a nation have been victorious the most times with 19 titles, followed by England (15), Italy (12), Germany (6) and the Netherlands (4).

The excitement and the level of play in the Champions League make it one of the most popular competitions when it comes to betting. The top continental competition is one of the most followed sports tournaments worldwide, and the range of its potential champions, with a large number of teams capable of fighting for the trophy, gives it a tremendous global interest. In the last 12 seasons, only Real Madrid, Bayern and Chelsea have been able to record more than one triumph.

One thing to consider after all the excitement of the tournament so far is that the Champions League final can be a cagey affair, as teams take a more cautious approach. The last four finals have all finished 1-0 and, since Liverpool beat Tottenham 2-0 in 2018/19, one of the finalists has failed to score in the last five finals.

Champions League winners at Wembley

The new Wembley Stadium will hold its third Champions League final. The previous two were:

2013: Bayern Munich 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

2011: Barcelona 3-1 Manchester United

Prior to that, the old Wembley Stadium hosted these five finals:

1992: Barcelona 1-0 Sampdoria

1978: Liverpool 1-0 Club Brugge

1971: Ajax 2-0 Panathinaikos

1968: Manchester United 4-1 Benfica

1963: Milan 2-1 Benfica

Popular bets on the Champions League final

Are you now ready to make your predictions for the Champions League final and place your bets?

Marathonbet offers many betting options, so choose carefully from the wide range of markets available.

Please bear in mind though that the majority of betting markets on the final apply to what happens during the 90 minutes (plus allowance for stoppages) of normal time.

The only markets which include extra-time or penalties (if they are played) are the Champions League winner outright betting market and bets on how the match will be won.

Markets such as total match goals, correct score, handicap betting, and so on, all exclude extra-time or penalties.

Champions League winner

If you are looking to place a bet on one of the teams to win, you have two options:

Betting on the 1X2 market (90 minutes)

5.20 Borussia Dortmund

4.15 Draw

1.64 Real Madrid

or

Betting on the outright winner (includes any extra-time and/or penalties)

3.32 Borussia Dortmund

1.31 Real Madrid

As you can see, the outright winner prices are not as generous, but in this market, you don’t lose if your team proves victorious after a stalemate at 90 minutes. The market you choose will reflect the level of risk you are happy to take.

Here’s the full list of odds currently available on how the match will be won:

YesNo
Extra Time4.151.25
Penalty Shoot-Out7.301.078
UEFA Champions League Winner In Normal Time – Either Team1.254.15
UEFA Champions League Winner In Normal Time – Borussia Dortmund5.201.177
UEFA Champions League Winner In Normal Time – Real Madrid1.642.32
UEFA Champions League Winner In Extra Time – Either Team6.651.094
UEFA Champions League Winner In Extra Time – Real Madrid8.801.052
UEFA Champions League Winner By Penalty Shoot-Out – Either Team7.301.078
UEFA Champions League Winner By Penalty Shoot-Out – Borussia Dortmund12.251.018
UEFA Champions League Winner By Penalty Shoot-Out – Real Madrid12.251.018

All odds are correct at the time of writing but are subject to fluctuation after. Please check the website for all the latest odds and markets.

You can also find informative guides on How to Bet on Football and Handicap Betting in our Sports Betting Guide section.